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The most profitable and extremely verified means of protecting the minutes that you prefer. /> We minimized the papers and maximized protection, so you get a chance to stop doubting in your watch and concentrate on getting to know them. 

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In-depth restart of the universal genève will be sure that we can cope with this 

When we celebrate martin luther king, jr. We look back at the indicated photograph in which he wears his gold rolex datejust 

> received a selection of dial dial rolex day date (with diamonds) full of gold 36 mm royal oak and a cartier tank from white gold americaine on the bracelet 

Picks 1. What you need to wear its cells, in the work of cintrée 

2. Detailed testing and cost over time with the date “no” rolex summariner 

3. The fall hype watch 

In 2019 a number of the same type of same type hours - you know that people are from completely expensive, even with the subject of luxury ”to“ these prices are simply not able to be real. "In 2020, the bubble became available. This is what is happening, and also what it means for 2023. 

----

First, good news. After two or three years of conversation about the clearly inevitable extinction of mechanical minutes, which will undoubtedly be replaced by children's designers and/or microchips on the backs of our skulls, the old cute analog watches continue to prosper. 

it becomes absolutely impossible to walk in a step equipped with all new brands and cool watchmen. Club enthusiasts. Veb pages and podcasts and classic instagram films. More foods are more multilateral and higher than previous versions but the points of accession have become even more accessible than before.> however, this growth was clamped by the market, the demand for the product that the industry for the clock, which contains old -fashioned skills that cannot be rushed, could not meet. Anyone who has a fleeting knowledge of demand and proposition, thinks that the deficit increases prices. In 2018, it was impossible to discuss the deadlines - without discussing the lack of supply chain and stratospheric prices for the secondary. In order to look in detail at the trio of minutes, which served as three horsemen of this era of the hype: audemars piguet royal oak, patek philippe nautilus and rolex daytona. We will enlighten in which they are in our time in their sector and offer some hints about where they can move. We came to us, or that it is extremely priority ... 

I admit - the term "hype watch" does not suit me noticeably higher than i do not like the effects that he brought to the watch page . Its application as a descriptor spreads everywhere in the discourse of an online hour, and i feel that it has become used quite often as a common term for numismatists, bonists and philatelyists to describe everything that they do not like-either that a person with clearly more with a low taste, he believes that it is good. This is the reality of judy. 

However, the mentioned term that we all know, and among me there is no more worthy that this is another, which masters are put into business. What, the same, is the time for excitement? One way or another, these are minutes that are made from 1 day with the surrounding perception of financial value. This is a person who, of course, is not difficult to turn over for some of its multiple retail prices. These are minutes that it’s better not simply a clock - they jumped onto a shark with the zodiac initial intention and turned into a legal asset, even if the owner is not interested, so that this was perceived with the help of this. 

Models of minutes, which are considered hype, are now so famous that the models are popular and want even random enthusiasts that long -standing botanists with a clock are usually offended.Hype watches - they are bought and standing by artists, influential people, fashionable people and competing impatient new collectors, and they treat the philistines, because our hackers did not pay their deposits and therefore are not carried away for hours for “right reasons”. /> Their prices can vary from tens and hundreds of thousands in several million bucks. 

"My first thought, when i hear the term" hype watch 'steel sports hours, which were promoted by messengers and rocket cryptomide,-says john rirdon, the former international chapter in christie's, who was a witness to the witness hobbies of “hype” in the real moment in such a current current role as the founder of the platform patek philippe dededededededede, collectionbility. 

"In my opinion, these are ingredients: steel sports hours, social networks and, it seems, endless heaps of money ”, reardon continues.“ The fur coat also has pop culture. You combine a celebrity, your bloody, and it seems, a low reserve of something on the web resource of postal services and suddenly you personally have ideal components for the noise this self -reads independently. ” For the most accurate accounting, i think, it would be fair to consider the recent phenomenon in the noise, which is represented by three models of the blue chip, which i already mentioned, but only like modern examples, like modern examples or the current room or recently stopped. Vintage rarely "hype." Richard mill's clock also correspond to the account, however, taking their additional low amount and strongly high msrp, they are more likely an auxiliary part of this phenomenon. And then abroad of these primary model families, i would say that there are many additional collections from people who, among other things, can make a reduction as a concomitant brother - reflect on the patek philippe, rolex gmt -mter ii aquanoet and many rolelex summariner. 

Eric ku, the final collector, a random participant in the walker and the founder of the online -assembly platform auction loupe this, has a sufficiently simple definition of the term, which, i brainwash, makes the work well. “You no longer need to remain an hourly person to want any of such chronometers,” he says. "For example, unclean watches." Quality in the product. I discovered that the hype is vast in the distant credit department in the role of a dismissive term, which is a synonym for an element of disgusting high quality, which cannot be worth it. Before you is not entirely in the watch biz - extremely legendary members of the horological hype - all the fantastic watches that are difficult to deny, even if you are not a fan directly. 

"Pay too much when they perceive, enjoys huge popularity and is preoccupied with low deficiency," says rirdon. "I am a brain that each of us will find out how the markets are moving when global communication participates because we are not a spectacle. Very philosophical, in a certain sense. "

This was not in ancient times (less than five years, that as royal oak 15202, never the nautilus 5711 manage to buy correctly in the secondary market for their initial retail price. But what caused such an unprecedented surge in the price for this compressed period? Finally, the covid-19 stimuli packages can be so many unforeseen money that extends to the circulation. Vintage. "A solid amount of such buyers were a new wealth, trying to show their wealth a little. The indicated components of the whole class, if not cryptocurrencies, and after the people inspired by cryptocurrency. People bought things, as it was done by them to “have”, which the models were “supposed to weed”, the fact, the fact, the fact, the fact, the fact that that the films "expected" to drive. This is partly the fact that led customers to the one that our organization is observing in the current realities with the collapse of ftx. I feel that the design was part of the entire ecosystem of this culture. "

A second secondary secondary, like deuton, nautilus and the royal ouk, which was now on the ascending trajectory before the pandemia, suddenly exploded at the end of 2021, at this stage last year, royal oak 15202 it was sold for almost six digits, nautilus 5711/1a easily headed this mark, and deuton was steadily approaching $ 50 thousand and it seemed that there was no end to 2018 growth at hand. In the recent morgan stanley report using watchcharts, it is indicated first glance, the impossible fact: “according to the annual trade price in the secondary observation market, these big troika brands are ~ 71% of the total trade price in the field of trading secondary hours.” Wild. Our company is happy to enter this peak in the field of trade for a long time in the name of those of those “schumikha”, as at the end of march 2022, the daily watchcharts lists maximums of $ 120,770 for royal oak 15202, 181 992 usa for nautilus 5711/1a and 47 145 doll.Usa for rolex daytona 116500ln. There is nowhere to go, in addition to down. In december 2022, through the nine months after reaching the top, similar information about the parts prove that the decrease from the riding assessment of the secondary plan of the royal oak is 15202 - 33.3 percent, nautilus 5711/1a - 31.95 percent, and rolelex daytona 116500 - 35, 8 percent. Let's figure out where we were from the peak "hype" to that moment? Violation of the mood of consumers throughout the earth and 3 // relating to these factors, the effect of wealth, which affected the decline in the value of stock markets and any other classes of assets. ” At the dawn of 2022, they began to renounce key links, online college rejoiced. Many long -standing enthusiasts considered a similar type of market correction as necessary in order to squeeze speculators and restore these demanded hours back into the hands of “real” collectors. 

Reaction - most of the men spend countless watches, learning about the watch and the sentry, thanks to real passion. We believe that the price list can always be secondary regarding the object. This is similar to blasphemy to ignore skill regarding the creation of a royal oak bracelet, or ingenuity, which is then necessary to claim the caliber of deton 4130, in the sense of bonuses and speculators. Therefore, we celebrate when it seems that such shameless flippers and night merchants can hurt. This is only natural. 

I’m not here then to make any decent judgment about the most popular dealers or penny enthusiasts. I already recognized my aversion to the hype watch nomenclature, and this is approximately how i will go. However, i am here to tell the customers that - no matter how regrettable or not - our employees, perhaps, were a little premature to read the stir. There is no field, it may touch. However, it is not an apocalypse in any option. You should not get into the boutique yet and find the royal oak, nautilus or dyton in msrp. And you do not have the opportunity to acquire an example of them from one of the 3 operating systems given by the price of your lists or lower - at a distance from that. And it doesn’t look like that he will change soon soon, even at that moment we will continue to see the current gradual decline in 2023 and further. You can also notice that the current decline cannot be considered exclusive for the clock. Today, highly valuable collecting of input and similar classes of related assets were injured, and the secondary of the clock, it seems,, by the way, holds more than all others. 

The mentioned factor is also not because the interest in the perfection of the hourly creation suddenly decreased - in reality, if the internal indicators of the internal traffic of the walker are some kind of indication, then the opposite is true. 

As regards what place we find today the end of the auction season of 2022. 3 main auction houses for the clock industry (christie's, sotheby's and phillips - read our preliminary viewing here all the goods are sales in new york this week. These auction will be our latest opportunity to identify the trends of the cigarette on the public floor before the finish of the year. I read the amount and the results for daytona, nautilus and royal oak, in connection with which you are not worth it. We will determine the moment of each hour of the “peak excitement”, and among other things, the one that is being made with a zodiac assessment immediately and where it is able to move over time. 

The boy’s peak agiota, there are a huge number of points at the discretion. This can become an element in january 2021, when the headquarters of the buy, sell or part-exchange a luxury watch patek in geneva proved that 5711 will be discontinued. Either when green dials 5711 he was developed in april 2021 so that the general director thierry stern called “a victorious circle.” But i smoke that the only genuine answer is the unforeseen drop of the limited radiation of tiffany-blue nautilus 5711, exactly a year back this week. The new york retail partner tiffany & co. From lvmh, tiffany-blue 5711 was limited by a range of 170 items, a number that marks the 170th anniversary of the relationship between swiss observation and american jeweler. 

Patek philippe nautilus 5711 /1a-018 with the tiffany blue dial. Image: kindly provided by james k./@ Waitlisted 

@>+> this is a big business for patek to create a numbered edition of any of its hours, and so that it is the last - yes, on the very very the case is the time - version 5711, made exclusively for the best customers of tiffany, created the fireworks. But the initial introduction was only the beginning of the history of tiffany blue 5711. It is less than a week after it was announced, the first example was set by auction in phillips, new york, and all income will go to charity, where it was ultimately sold for more than $ 6.5 million - all for the steel nautilus.Next month, in january 2022, i helped to show the new owner of 5711 us dollars 5711 (hint: it was not jay-z).

"For me, if you should have encapsulate hype watch, this is nautilus 5711," wind says. "This is a kind of most famous example where you can track a mass increase in cost, and then a decrease . This year, and now they are possibly in the range of $ 90,000. And everyone knows about it. And, of course, james k./@ Waitlisted 

@>+> there was no more news about the nautilus for a rather long time. 5711 officially left production at the end of 2021, and only in october 2022 the next generation was officially announced - white gold 5811/1g.

There is no doubt that continuation of work from 5711 in combination with tiffany blue affair with the overall visibility of nautilus, and then its cost. 1a reached a peak assessment of the secondary market more than 180,000 us dollars in early march 2022. Row to this day, and it is currently trading on average, from 120,000 to 125,000 us dollars - about eight percent higher than in mid -december 2021. 

This data is quite neat with the research of morgan stanley about the current state of the secondary watch market: “while prices for steel models patek sports are monitored to a similar 12 -month trajectory, there are more signs. A stable trend in some models. Despite the fact that prices are significantly falling from the peak, and the nautilus 5711/1a models, and models 5711/1r significantly end the period compared to the end of 2021 with the signs that they can return to a more sustainable growth profile. “

Watchcharts schedule depicting a secondary market rating and performance of patek philippe 5711/1a over the last year. The schedule created through watchcharts.Com 

The results of the auction for nautilus were more diverse. I mentioned in my resume of the spring sales season in geneva that 5711/1a could not sell in antiquorum. We saw how this happened several times during the ongoing autumn/winter season, including in anticorum. If you open the sight area to include 5711 in auxiliary models, there were also 5712 (lot 51) and 5711/1p in geneva sotheby (lot 58). During online distribution of christie in dubai. The problem with these results of the auction is largely associated with excessively ambitious assessments that do not reflect the current descending market trajectory. “Ku says, referring to the luup.“ I think that we see trends faster than they. So, we mainly sold these things at cheaper prices, or they reached lower prices, but you want to name it. They simply cheaper. We sold 5980 nautilus a few weeks ago. As a result, he brought, ll-in, something about 80 grandiose, which was quite low. The management was in order. He realized that the market is what it is, but this it was interesting because i had many dealers that i was friends with the exchange after, saying: “oh, dude, it became so cheap. Why did you sell it so cheap?” I said to them: “this is a market price.” Because i don’t think it was cheap. It was a market price. ”

Patek philippe nautilus 5711 with a green dial. 

Green and tiffany-banit version 5711? The latest results for green-dial 5711/1a-014 were in anticorum last month in geneva, where it was sold for 362,500 swiss francs, and then in christie's watches in new york yesterday, where it went for 352,800 dollars, all in for the whole field, both results are a little in the figure (about 400,000 swiss francs), as a rule, has been exchanged since its announcement. And then, last month, the sale of rare watches of christie's rare in geneva, the first tiffany-great 5711, which appeared at the auction (since the notorious first example), more than 3 million swiss rocks were sold, the total amount corresponds to the fact that i listened to my own market value this year. 

The distribution between green and blue results is quite easy to explain. In the end, it makes sense that a watch with confirmed production, like tiffany-blue 5711 (170 pieces), remained somewhat stable and retain value (even if it is lower than the very first example that is sold for a charity), in while the green cycle 5711, which did not have the indicated common products, down down. 

What will happen next: 5711 disappeared, and it has not yet returned, and, as far as i know, we have not yet seen no examples of 5811/1g that appeared on the market, but patek and nautilus seem to have nothing to worry about in the short term - it seems that they are a gold standard for maintaining value these days.

Patek philippe watch, on average, according to morgan stanley analysts, retaining a cost delay about 64 percent above their retail price in the third quarter of 2022, using watchcharts data. “The maintenance of the cost was 15pt more than a year ago, the average secondary market price of ~ 81,000 us dollars compared to the average retail price of ~ 50,000 us dollars.” Burennaise by any means, but this is a collection that has largely remained strong in relation to adverse market conditions. This does not mean that in the coming months and years it will not go through a decline - even a few months ago there was a miniature frozen> “recently there was a period when it was very difficult to sell 5711 at almost any price,” says wind. “Whenever the markets fall so radically, no one wants to catch a falling sword, so everyone is just sitting and waiting. I feel that prices have now stabilized, and people buy again over the past month. In the united states, less uncertainty in the united states stabilizes. The political system, given that the elections were over and the stock market was quite stable, and recently in september in the stock market it was below 30,000, it was mortally quiet, as at the beginning of covid. Therefore, i feel that prices stabilized, obviously, at the levels that are much higher, where they were at the beginning of the pandemic. ” /+> For even more on nautilus 5711, do not miss the recent leadership of the collector tony. To celebrate its 50th anniversary in the same year, the watch market exploded. Although the announcement in march 2021 that the “jumbo” of the royal oak of 15202 will be discontinued, it is definitely caused by interest in the link - as in january 2022, as well as the true peak of the new general of 16202 “jumbo”. The market occurred with the calendar of this spring. Phillips and differently kept thematic sales exclusively, concentrated on the royal oak in may 2022. Perhaps all this came on the head of may 10, 2022, when sotheby spoke at an auction with the only royal oak, when the liba belonging to gerald gente. He sold more than two million swiss francs in the framework of geneva sotheby “important watches”, a live auction. Many auctions - and so many lots! - Everything that happens in prime -time at the beginning of this year is almost natural that the subsequent decline in the royal oak will occur. Think about this - there were more than 220 different royal oaks, with a very small number of duplicates - is available in all four spring sales in geneva. Despite the constantly growing amount of eyeballs and bidders, there are still so many wrists with the necessary means and interests to support the purchase of bonanza. It would definitely be some collective exhaustion of the collective collector. 

Audemars piguet royal oak 'jumbo' extra-thin ref. 15202bc 

, And this is more or less what we have seen since then - well -known and desired examples of the royal oak have reached their peak significance during the spring months and since then have slowly sent south. This is not true for every royal oak - just look at the result of this emerald -green eternal calendar of the royal oak last month christie - but this is definitely true for such hours as 15202 or 15500 +> What happens today: royal oak 15202 is currently trading a little more than $ 80,000 compared to the maximum of more than $ 120,000 at the end of march. The average price of the secondary market a year ago, in december 2021, was on a stadium field of $ 90,000. The royal oak of the 15500th, on the other hand, reached its peak value of a little less than $ 75,000 at about the same time as 15202 and is currently at $ 49,000 - a small increase compared to the average sale price of 46 500 us dollars last year. 

Watchcharts schedule depicting a secondary market rating and performance audemars piguet royal oak 15202 over the past year. The schedule created through watchcharts.Com 

Of course, like nautilus 5711, royal oak 15202 now officially retired as a production reference material, officially replaced by 16202. The difference from nautilus 5811, royal oak 16202 was released quite early in 2022, so that some examples have already failed to the secondary market. The watchcharts data indicate a slow decline from when the first links appeared in april 2022 (for more than $ 300,000!) Until today, where 16202 is slightly higher than $ 130,000. This is a fairly significant leap in the cost (60 percent!) Between the current value of the secondary market 15202 versus 16202, only for a rather gradual update of generations. Of course, 16202 is a new hot thing, and there are much less of them, but at some moment it should cool down, right? 

Morgan stanley agrees.Their analysis of secondary market prices in the third quarter includes this bit on ap and the royal oak: “analysis of the quality of cost retention for audemars piguet can be less optimal due to the cessation of most models of 2021 in the royal oak collection in early 2022." 

What will happen next: the royal oak is 50 years old, and, it is believed that it accounts for more than 90 percent of the current income of audemars piguet. So it is a little difficult to make a clear assessment of where it can go further. There is no shortage of it. In interesting evolutions taking place with the original design (just check its last quiet release), but it is clear that audemars piguet is focused on expanding their competence. The continuing development of the code 11.59 proves this particularly, especially after the recent revival of the star wheel, one of the most beloved structures is not -ap, inside the code, the code is 11.59. 

Audemars piguet royal oak ref. 16202 "jumbo" 

But the royal oak is an icon for reason. The desirability and relevance of pop culture models will not die in the near future. When we go further from the 50th anniversary of the brand, and when audemars piguet continues to grow and develop its assortment, i think it will be more interesting to see how many areas of the collector and larger market remains laser oriented to the royal oak. 

, Unlike other members of our "big three", "royal oak" - the only hours that had several thematic auctions dedicated to it this year. All this is up to a certain level of saturation among collectors, which can be so comprehensive that for ap it can be difficult to continue to build and move forward around the royal oak. Rolex daytona is very different from the royal oak and nautilus. It is not only produced in much larger quantity and has a much wider distribution network, but also has the longest complaints about the current mantle observing the stir. Since the baselworld 2016 was released the ceramic frame of the daytona 116500 with a ceramic frame, it was one of the most popular and hard -to -reach hours on the planet. And the royal oak was always desirable, of course, but the current level of the hype that surrounds these two began more like a slow boiling, which then raised steam in the middle/end of the 2010s, and then completely exploded during the pandemic. Meanwhile, the daytona 116500ln has been in full swing from the day of his birth. Outside of some variations with precious metal and precious stones, the current general deuton easily sits on the top of the pyramid of the desired rolex watch today. 

, Really indicates certain trends that correspond to the peaks and cavities of the entire secondary market. For the daytona 116500 stainless steel with a black ceramic frame, apex appeared in early march, when the average price of the sale of the resulting example passed $ 47,000. 

Today? This figure remains at the level of $ 30,000, which is actually a slight decline compared to last year since the beginning of december 2021, when it was an average of a little more than $ 35,000. For the fact that it is, the current price of the rolex daytona 116500ln list is 14,550 us dollars. 

What is happening today: deutona is an elephant in the room "holy". So many people want one thing, and they have so much time, but many of the same people abandoned the idea of getting it. Their local authorized dealers have too much demand, and the trading price in the secondary market is too high. 

Watchcharts schedule depicting an assessment of the secondary market and rolex daytona ref. 116500 for the last year. The schedule created through watchcharts.Com 

At the same time rolex is still much more affordable brand than patek philippe and audemars piguet. By this i mean that rolex marketing is much more noticeable, and, given the lower average price, there is still an aura of all appeals. Sometimes it may seem that every collector owns daytona, but you. Last year. 

"In 3q22, we estimate that holding the cost of 25 selected hours by rolex is ~ 42% in the market of used ones, which is 14ppt below compared to 3q21," says the morgan stanley analysis, says the analysis using the watchcharts data field “generally, the rolex decrease is mainly due to a decrease in the brand’s professional watches - the explorer and explorer ii models (both were released in april 2021), the gmt -master ii models, and the daytona models saw a decrease in cost delay more than more than 20 pt. This is a much more noticeable decrease than nautilus and the royal oak, in the same period. 116508. 

And the decrease is not limited only from stainless steel 116500ln-yellow-gold, green datton 116508, which has become the famous john mayer at talking watches, part 2 has recently been an auction.After regular trading at high five digits and low six digits for many years at the auction, 116508 fell to 51,700 dollars in loupe on this list, which ended on november 11, before it could not be sold at a live auction on hong kong christie in hong kong 26 november 26 november 26. 2022. 

What is happening next: i think that the largest collectors of questions now have in daytona (and with other highly valuable rolex sport watches) is how the new certified rolex program in rolex will affect future prices. We have already seen several online scenes that have appeared from the first bucherer boutiques from europe to gain access to the cpo rolex program, and they are currently much higher than the current market value of the clock. What exactly does it mean? It's hard to say now. Perhaps the bull prices of cpo models are transferred to the rest of the market, and we see a gradual return to the maximums of this spring. Or maybe this is a lot of noise. I heard from several authorized retail sellers in the united states that rolex delivers more hours for its retailers over the past few months than at any other moment in his recent history, if not ever. (Rolex did not provide any comments when i asked to confirm this rumor, earlier this year.) 

With a large amount of delivery and more and more people in the waiting list, this is natural, only naturally, naturally, that the price of a used rolex will decrease depending on a decrease in demand. A recent announcement of the new rolex production enterprise is a billion dollars, which plans to open in western switzerland by the end of this decade, only confirms that rolex is looking at the maximization of its production for any possible avenue. 

In deuton, nautilus and the royal oak, the highest decrease in interest in their secondary market estimate was observed simply because their cost increased at the peak most. Even with a decrease in this year, all three of these hours and collections support a much higher price, which they made three, five or 10 years ago - much, much higher. And find one in msrp? Forget about it. 

“This watch will remain desirable,” says wind. “They really will be. I do not like to see crazy swings like this. I like to see stable growth, but over the past two years, in my opinion, the fact that millions of people now know and are interested in luxury hours compared to pandemia. There is much more awareness and knowledge. This is positive, now we just need to save them and help them deepen their interest. Ten years ago, they were hunting for their first hours, they would probably hit their local shopping center, bought a fossil, and then they would call it during the day. Today, this person would have exponally more outlets to conduct his research, more opportunities for buying, and more enthusiasts to tell everything about their exciting new find. 

. Too much. I was able to visit auctions in geneva, which occurred at about the same time last month. I also paid close attention to the sales batch in hong kong, which ended at the beginning of last week. The results that we saw in the auction rooms are still this season are solid - not cheap, but not so expensive. We were in 2019, ”ku says. “And i think that there is still a place for the growth of time markets, in terms of how many people are in it. I also feel that where we are now is the general maturity of all this. High price or low price, business is still done. The clock moves at new prices. We are still selling. ” 

This is funny.Daytonas and royal oaks, for a new generation of earned collectors, what were fossils and samples: this is the clock that they know. Those they heard about. Those that they saw and suggest, are good. 

Works that play this role in the ecosystem of the watch will change over time. If you are a watch collector that is not a cadjillioner, you must hope that hot brands, such as f.P. Gourn and even kurono tokyo are not just replacing ap, patek and rolex. You must hope that the new collectors - regardless of their price - will understand many options available to them, will continue their horror trip and will ultimately find something, what they like for their own reasons, and not any excitement. If you liked this post, and you would like to get additional information about online platform for luxury watches make sure you will visit the web website.